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RESEARCH · METHODS · EVIDENCE

Interpret a regression model

Browse statistics lessons

Regression relates an outcome to specified predictors. A coefficient represents the modeled change in outcome per unit of a predictor, conditional on the other included terms; it is not automatically a causal effect.

Check functional form, residuals, independence, influential observations, and the uncertainty relevant to the model. Standard linear-regression inference commonly assumes constant residual variance and an appropriate error model. Avoid predictions far beyond the data used to fit the model.

References: NIST model assumptions